Manny the Movie Guy’s Oscar Night predictions

The question on everybody’s mind is will it be “Boyhood” or “Birdman?”

The Oscars this Sunday will be one of the most nail-biting Academy Awards in recent history.  In the beginning of the awards season, Richard Linklater’s “Boyhood” was winning the best picture category in many of the award-giving bodies.

And then, the Producers Guild and Directors Guild Awards happened where Alejandro González Iñárritu’s “Birdman” took the top prizes.

Same can be said with Michael Keaton.  The actor was a surefire bet to win until the Screen Actors Guild decided to crown Eddie Redmayne for “The Theory of Everything.”

So this Sunday, it’s all up in the air.  But this is my Super Bowl and so I analyzed all the statistics which led me to my predictions below.  Beware!  I am not a fortune teller, only a movie buff.  But don’t forget me if you win your Oscar pool.  I just want a dollar!

2015 Oscar Predictions

Best Picture
“American Sniper”
“Birdman”
“Boyhood” WILL WIN
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“The Imitation Game”
“Selma”
“The Theory of Everything”
“Whiplash”

Best Actor
Steve Carell, “Foxcatcher”
Bradley Cooper, “American Sniper”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “The Imitation Game”
Michael Keaton, “Birdman”  WILL WIN
Eddie Redmayne, “The Theory of Everything”

Best Actress
Marion Cotillard, “Two Days, One Night”
Felicity Jones, “The Theory of Everything”
Julianne Moore, “Still Alice”  WILL WIN
Rosamund Pike, “Gone Girl”
Reese Witherspoon, “Wild”

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall, “The Judge”
Ethan Hawke, “Boyhood”
Edward Norton, “Birdman”
Mark Ruffalo, “Foxcatcher”
J.K. Simmons, “Whiplash”  WILL WIN

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette, “Boyhood”  WILL WIN
Laura Dern, “Wild”
Keira Knightley, “The Imitation Game”
Emma Stone, “Birdman”
Meryl Streep, “Into the Woods”

Best Director
Alejandro González Iñárritu, “Birdman”
Richard Linklater, “Boyhood”  WILL WIN
Bennett Miller, “Foxcatcher”
Wes Anderson, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Morten Tyldum, “The Imitation Game”

Best Animated Feature Film
“Big Hero 6″
“The Boxtrolls”
“How to Train Your Dragon 2″  WILL WIN
“Song of the Sea”
“The Tale of the Princess Kaguya”

Best Adapted Screenplay
“American Sniper”
“The Imitation Game”  WILL WIN
“Inherent Vice”
“The Theory of Everything”
“Whiplash”

Best Original Screenplay
“Birdman”
“Boyhood”
“Foxcatcher”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” WILL WIN
“Nightcrawler”

Best Cinematography
“Birdman”  WILL WIN
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“Ida”
“Mr. Turner”
“Unbroken”

Best Visual Effects
“Captain America: The Winter Soldier”
“Dawn of the Planet of the Apes”
“Guardians of the Galaxy”
“Interstellar”  WILL WIN
“X-Men: Days of Future Past”

Best Documentary Feature
“Citizenfour” WILL WIN
“Finding Vivian Maier”
“Last Days in Vietnam”
“The Salt of the Earth”
“Virunga”

Best Documentary Short Subject
“Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1″ WILL WIN
“Joanna”
“Our Curse”
“The Reaper”
“White Earth”

Best Film Editing
“American Sniper”
“Boyhood”  WILL WIN
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“The Imitation Game”
“Whiplash”

Best Original Song
“Everything Is Awesome,” from “The Lego Movie”
“Glory,” from “Selma” WILL WIN
“Grateful,” from “Beyond the Lights”
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You,” from “Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me”
“Lost Stars,” from “Begin Again”

Best Production Design
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” WILL WIN
“The Imitation Game”
“Interstellar”
“Into the Woods”
“Mr. Turner”

Best Live Action Short Film
“Aya”
“Boogaloo and Graham”
“Butter Lamp (La Lampe au Beurre de Yak)”
“Parvaneh”
“The Phone Call”  WILL WIN

Best Animated Short Film
“The Bigger Picture”
“The Dam Keeper”
“Feast”  WILL WIN
“Me and my Moulton”
“A Single Life”

Best Sound Editing
“American Sniper” WILL WIN
“Birdman”
“The Hobbit: Battle of the Five Armies”
“Interstellar”
“Unbroken”

Best Sound Mixing
“American Sniper” WILL WIN
“Birdman”
“Interstellar”
“Unbroken”
“Whiplash”

Best Costume Design
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”  WILL WIN
“Inherent Vice”
“Into the Woods”
“Maleficent”
“Mr. Turner”

Best Foreign Language Film
“Ida”  WILL WIN
“Leviathan”
“Tangerines”
“Timbuktu”
“Wild Tales”

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
“Foxcatcher”
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” WILL WIN
“Guardians of the Galaxy”

Best Original Score
“The Grand Budapest Hotel”
“The Imitation Game”
“Interstellar”
“Mr. Turner”
“The Theory of Everything” WILL WIN

 

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